03 October, 2025

2026 Health Benefit Premiums:
Biggest Jump in 15 Years—
Fix It

Independent forecasts deliver a sobering headline: In 2026, U.S. employers are bracing for the largest employer health-benefit cost jump in 15 years. Aon and WTW project increases of ~9-9.5%, while Mercer says costs still rise ~6.5% even after employers take action (and ~9% if they don’t). Employers across industries, especially small and mid-sized businesses (SMBs), are caught in the middle—trying to balance affordability with the need to attract and retain talent in a competitive labor market.

OPOC.us — Helping companies take CARE of their most important asset – their employees.

The numbers you need to know

  • Employer health insurance costs are projected to rise 9.2%–9.5% in 2026, the biggest increase since 2010, per estimates from WTW and Aon. 
  • Even after planned cost-reduction steps, employers still expect ~6.5% higher per-employee costs in 2026; if they take no action, increases approach ~9%.
  • Employers are struggling to manage cost drivers like specialty drugs, delayed care post-pandemic, and broader inflationary pressures.
  • For SMBs, these increases are especially painful, as they lack the scale and leverage of larger organizations.

If you are waiting until renewals finalize, you risk being locked into double-digit increases—but proactive moves can materially reduce the hit.  

Why costs are climbing 

  • Hospital & clinic prices are climbing. Rising hospital bills and higher unit costs—driven partly by wage inflation—are pushing plan costs up. Provider consolidation also increases negotiating leverage (higher contracted rates). 
  • People are using more care. After pandemic delays, utilization has rebounded; access has loosened as staffing improves, so more procedures are happening.
  • Cancer is a top cost driver. Employers report cancer leading spend for the fourth straight year, with more diagnoses among working-age adults.  
  • Pharmacy is a bigger slice of the pie. Pharmacy made up about a quarter of employer health spend in 2024, and drug out-of-pocket costs hit $98B in 2024; growth is expected to keep coming from obesity and oncology therapies.
  • General inflation & health-care wages. Broader inflation and higher provider pay are flowing through to allowed amounts and premiums.  
  • Policy/trade shocks and tariffs. New tariffs are prompting some plans—especially individual & small group—to file higher rates as drug/device input costs rise, with potential knock-on effects to broader markets via hospital renegotiations.
  • Billing intensity & tech. Wider use of AI-enabled revenue tools is helping providers optimize coding/billing, adding pressure to spend.  
  • Behavioral health & virtual care growth. Easier access (especially via telehealth) increases utilization in mental health and other areas.
  • High-cost claims are rising in focus. Employers name managing catastrophic/high-cost claims as their #1 priority trend to tame, signally the severity at the top end.

What this means for SMB employers

  1. “Do nothing” is not an option. Mercer’s modeling shows that without action, 2026 health-benefit costs land closer to ~9% increase.
  2. Design + steerage beat cost-shifting. Raising employee deductibles can backfire on talent and utilization. Smarter plan design, navigation, and pharmacy strategy move the needle.  
  3. Timing is a strategy. Procurement and implementation windows matter; the earlier you evaluate alternatives, the more options you have. 

How OPOC.us helps you control 2026 without cutting benefits

For 25+ years, OPOC has been the one-partner solution for benefits, HR, and payroll, helping 1000’s of businesses and associations with:

  • Real Savings: While Mercer’s report points to 6–7% increases, OPOC clients see something different. On average, we deliver 11% savings in year one, and most keep per-employee medical spend flat for 10 years.
  • White-Glove Support: Our Personal CARE Advocates™ act as a concierge for employees, solving healthcare challenges quickly and compassionately, at no additional cost and take day-to-day HR/benefits issues off your team’s plate.
  • Transparency: Use transparent analytics and aligned incentive to target waste and redirect dollars to high-value care.
  • Aligned Incentives: Unlike traditional brokers who profit when premiums rise, OPOC’s shared savings model is designed to lower costs year after year.
  • Proven Results Across Industries:

FAQs  

Is 2026 really the worst in 15 years?
Yes. Independent projections from Aon and WTW indicate ~9–9.5% increases—the steepest since 2010.  

If we take action, how much can we blunt the increase?
Mercer’s analysis shows ~6.5% average even after actions—and ~9% without them—so proactive strategies can make a meaningful difference.  

What’s driving the spike?
Rising hospital prices, greater use of services (especially cancer/cardiometabolic), and specialty drugs like GLP-1s.  

Why It Matters Now

Tariffs, inflation, and regulatory uncertainty are adding even more uncertainty, with insurers already filing for steep premium hikes. Without a new approach, employers risk being locked into unsustainable costs that erode margins and strain employees.

OPOC helps employers take back control-  we integrate benefits + HR + payroll under a One-Point-of-CARE™ model, pairing analytics with 1:1 employee support to lower avoidable spend—so you can improve benefits while cutting costs.

You don’t have to cut benefits to weather 2026—you can control costs and improve the employee experience at the same time.


Sources:

The Wall Street Journal;  Mercer

Compliance note: Results vary by employer size, demographics, and plan design.